The Economist | Independent journalism
US election | Donald Trump has a two-in-three chance of winning in November
Our forecast puts the former president ahead of Joe Biden
Leaders
America seems immune to the world economy’s problems
Elsewhere, political dysfunction and fiscal frailties are taking a toll
United States
Hunter Biden’s criminal conviction is good for nobody politically
The trial showed the ruin of addiction, and the wheels of justice turning
Business
The EU hits China’s carmakers with hefty new tariffs
Duties will only hold them back for a while
The world in brief
The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady, at a range of 5.25% and 5.5%...
The European Commission announced it will introduce new tariffs on electric-vehicle imports from China...
Apple reclaimed its title as the world’s most valuable company with a market capitalisation of $3.29trn, overtaking Microsoft (valued at $3.24trn) for the first time in five months...
Antony Blinken, America’s secretary of state, characterised some gaps between Hamas and an American-sponsored plan for a ceasefire with Israel as “bridgeable”, and emphasised that America would keep pushing for a deal...
Hamas and Israel are still far apart over a ceasefire deal
For all America’s optimism, the two sides look fundamentally irreconcilable
Bagehot: What separates Tony Blair’s Labour from the party today?
The approach to globalisation is the clearest dividing-line of all
Ukraine has a navy that needs no sailors
It does a surprisingly good job of destroying Russian vessels
William Anders took the photo that kicked off the environmental movement
The Apollo 8 astronaut and nuclear engineer died on June 7th, aged 90
World news
Who are the main contenders to be Iran’s next president?
After the death of the puritanical president, Iran’s reformists hope to win a portion of power
Benny Gantz and Gadi Eisenkot leave Israel’s war cabinet
Will this force Binyamin Netanyahu at last to decide to push for a ceasefire?
Banyan: How the Philippines is turning the water-cannon on China
Ferdinand Marcos’s flip is a huge gift to America. But dangers lie ahead
South Africa stands on the brink of salvation—or catastrophe
To prevent a coalition of chaos, Cyril Ramaphosa and the Democratic Alliance must do a deal
Video
European elections
Emmanuel Macron wants a snap election to get him out of a deep hole
But he’s taking a big risk
Why France’s president called a snap election
The centre wants to weaken Marine Le Pen’s hard right, in or out of power
The three women who will shape Europe
At a crucial moment they encapsulate the dilemma of how to handle populism
European elections 2024
European Parliament elections tracker: results and guide to the vote
The hard right has made some gains, but the centre-right EPP remains the largest group
Business, finance and economics
Why global GDP might be $7trn bigger than everyone thought
The discovery has perturbed Chinese officials
China is distorting its stockmarket by trying to prop it up
State purchases of shares are bad enough, but other measures are far more destructive
Bartleby: Is it better to be an early bird or a night owl?
The promise and perils of waking before sunrise
Schumpeter: Lessons in capitalism from Whole Foods and Trader Joe’s
How to build businesses that last
America’s election year
Donald Trump’s trade hawk is plotting behind bars
Peter Navarro’s dark vision of the global economy could shape Trump 2
America’s billionaires should resist the urge to support Donald Trump
A Trump victory would reward them. But not enough to justify the risks
US election 2024
Who are the Americans switching from Biden to Trump?
Try our “Build a voter” tool and see which attributes make voters likely to pick one candidate over the other
Trump v Biden: who’s ahead in the polls?
The Economist is tracking the race to be America’s next president
Britain’s election
How the Labour Party could end Britain’s stagnation
Even if the economy peps up, taxes will have to rise
Bagehot: Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer fight for a poundshop presidency
The general election reveals the absurdities of Britain’s presidential turn
The most Tory place in Britain
It isn’t that posh but its population is old
UK election 2024
General-election forecast: will Labour destroy the Conservatives
Our seat-by-seat prediction for Britain’s next Parliament
The Israel-Hamas war
Talk of war between Israel and Lebanon is growing
Israel and Hizbullah would still prefer to avoid one, but that is getting ever harder to do
Joe Biden leaked Israel’s first plan to end the war in Gaza
But hardliners in Israel and Hamas may yet scupper it
Who is responsible for feeding Gaza?
Arguments fly over Israel’s duty to maintain aid
The war in Ukraine
In Crimea, Ukraine is beating Russia
The peninsula is becoming a death trap for the Kremlin’s forces
Russia’s explosion of a huge Ukrainian dam had surprising effects
A year after the blast and flood, Ukrainians disagree over whether to rebuild Kakhovka
Tracking the Ukraine war: where is the latest fighting?
Our satellite view of the conflict, updated daily
Ukraine’s desperate struggle to defend Kharkiv
It is holding off Russia’s attack — for now
Other highlights
1843 magazine | Can fasting help you live to 100?
An Italian doctor thinks it can – and he’s got a diet to sell you
Black baseball players of yore get their due, at last
Major League Baseball recognition puts Josh Gibson ahead of Ty Cobb and Babe Ruth in the record books
It’s a bird, it’s a plane…it’s a Chinese flying car
China is developing the vehicles faster than any other country
New Zealand is changing its place names
But many citizens struggle to pronounce Maori monikers
Stories most read by subscribers
Featured read
Why political centrists must rediscover their passion
They need to be clear about what opposing populism does and doesn’t mean, argues Yair Zivan
Edition: June 8th 2024
A triumph for Indian democracy
Billionaires’ bad bet on Trump
A Trump victory would reward them. But not enough to justify the risks
Where Ukraine is beating Russia
Crimea is becoming a death trap for the Kremlin’s forces
When to buy expensive stocks
A new paper considers the question
From chatbots to robots
There is more to AI than ChatGPT
Special reports: May 11th 2024
Worlds apart
The American-led financial order is giving way to a more divided one
The global financial system is in danger of fragmenting
How crises reshaped the world financial system
The movement of capital globally is in decline
National payment systems are proliferating
The fight to dethrone the dollar
How the financial system would respond to a superpower war
Sources and acknowledgments
